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Oil slips as markets weigh impact of hefty US tariffs on India
  • Investing

Oil slips as markets weigh impact of hefty US tariffs on India

  • August 27, 2025
  • Roubens Andy King
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Gold prices were lower this Wednesday morning amid a rising dollar, but concerns about the independence of the US central bank after Donald Trump's threat to fire one of its governors capped losses.

At the time of writing, gold futures were down 0.2% to $3,426.00 per ounce, while spot gold slipped 0.1% to $3,375.29 per ounce.

The US dollar index (DX-Y.NYB), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, was higher 0.2% to 98.44. A stronger greenback makes gold less attractive for other currency holders.

“Short-term speculators are now taking a small profit. Nevertheless, gold continues to be supported, especially as we begin to see a much clearer ‘dovish' stance from the Federal Reserve,” said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

“In the near term, we may see a potential increase in price pressure aimed at testing the $3400 level, above which will be $3435,” he added.

Read more: FTSE 100 LIVE: Stock mixed as UK energy prices set to rise more than expected

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in an 87% probability of a quarter-point rate cut at the Fed's policy meeting on 17 September. Non-yielding gold typically performs well in a low-interest-rate environment.

Trump said he was firing Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook over alleged violations in obtaining mortgage loans, which could test presidential authority over the US Federal Reserve. In response, Cook said Trump had no authority to fire her from the central bank, and she would not resign.

Trump has been pushing the US central bank to cut rates and has repeatedly criticised Fed chairman Jerome Powell for acting too slowly.

Rabobank said: “The unabashed politicisation of the supposedly independent and technocratic process of setting the price of money once again confirms that it is no longer the 1990s and that old ideas about optimal policy transmission, central bank credibility and the need to insulate important decisions from the influence of the popular will offers little protection against the new paradigm of raw power politics.”

Oil prices continued their sharp decline on Wednesday morning as markets weighed the potential fallout of the United States imposing 50% tariffs on Indian imports.

Brent (BZ=F) crude futures lost 0.2% to trade at $66.12 per barrel at the time of writing, while West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) futures fell by 0.4% to $63.01 a barrel.

The US increased tariffs on select Indian goods to 50% on Wednesday, marking the highest tariff rate imposed on any Asian nation. The action is a direct response to India's ongoing imports of Russian oil, despite Western sanctions targeting Moscow’s energy exports.

However, despite the tariff hike, local refiners in India have shown little indication of altering their purchasing behaviour. According to Bloomberg, market observers have noted that Indian refineries have not made significant changes to their buying patterns, with most planning to maintain the bulk of their oil purchases as usual.

“The secondary tariff has not been enough to stop India from buying Russian oil. The market will be watching Russian oil flows to India closely going forward to gauge the impact, if any, of secondary tariffs,” Warren Patterson, head of commodity strategy at ING, said in a note.

Analysts estimate India has saved at least $17bn by increasing oil imports from Russia since early 2022.

The pound retreated against the dollar in early European trading despite support from the dampened likelihood of further Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts, driven by persistent inflationary pressures.

Sterling was lower against the dollar, down 0.3% at $1.3445, but higher against the euro at €1.1587.

Catherine Mann, a member of the BoE Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), said on Tuesday that interest rates should be held persistently to lean against inflation risks. She added: “I stand ready for a forceful policy action, in the form of larger, more rapid Bank Rate cuts, should the downside risks to domestic demand start materialising.”

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Inflation in the UK economy has been accelerating at a faster pace in recent months and hit an 18-month high of 3.8% in June.

In equities, the FTSE 100 (^FTSE) climbed on Wednesday morning, up 0.2% to 9,283 points. For more details, on market movements check our live coverage here.

Download the Yahoo Finance app, available for Apple and Android.

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