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Oil prices rise on reports of Israel potentially attacking Iran
  • Investing

Oil prices rise on reports of Israel potentially attacking Iran

  • May 21, 2025
  • Roubens Andy King
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Oil prices surged in response to reports that Israel is preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities, putting the deal that US president Donald Trump has been pursuing with Tehran at risk.

Brent crude futures (BZ=F) climbed 0.8% to $65.89 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate futures (CL=F) climbed 0.9% to $62.55 a barrel.

CNN reported that, according to several US intelligence officers, Israeli leaders were considering striking Iran, in a move that would squeeze supply and spark further unrest in the region.

The Middle East supplies around a third of the world’s crude oil. Nuclear talks between the US and Iran could pave the way for more barrels being released, however Israel’s plans have thrown this into question.

Read more: FTSE 100 LIVE: Stocks muted as UK inflation surges to highest in over a year

“Such an escalation would not only put Iranian supply at risk, but also (put supply at risk) in large parts of the broader region,” ING commodities strategists said.

Considering Iran exports more than 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd), fears of supply disruptions have helped to drive prices higher, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

The prospect of higher oil prices will also add to worries over inflation in the UK.

Gold prices rose on Wednesday, nearing a two-week high, as geopolitical uncertainty pushed investors into the safe haven.

Gold futures (GC=F) gained 0.9% to $3,314.90 per ounce at the time of writing, while the spot gold price climbed 2.3% to $3,313.59 per ounce.

Fears of escalation increased over a potential Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, which could trigger retaliatory measures from Tehran has pivoted investors towards the precious metal. Trump’s remarks on peace talks between Russia and Ukraine added to market unease, as he distanced himself from a mediating role.

Read more: Trending tickers: Nvidia, Alphabet, Palo Alto, M&S and JD Sports

The dollar remained under pressure after the Federal Reserve’s cautious economic outlook and Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating, citing rising government debt.

In a closed-door meeting on Capitol Hill, Trump told Republicans in the House of Representatives not to press for further changes to the bill that would cut taxes and tighten eligibility for the Medicaid health programme.

“There's been again a change in direction related to concern about the fiscal situation of the US and the driver has been the Moody's downgrade, and the market was attracted by the level of $3,300 yesterday,” UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

The pound pushed higher against the dollar, climbing 0.2% to $1.3411, as higher-than-expected inflation is expected to force the Bank of England to remove its “gradual and cautious” monetary expansion guidance from its next policy announcement, which is scheduled in June, and will pressure traders to pare dovish bets.

UK headline inflation rose at a robust pace of 3.5% on year, compared to estimates of 3.3% and the March reading of 2.6%. This is the highest level seen since November 2023.

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The US dollar index (DX-Y.NYB), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.5% to $99.59.

In other currency moves, the pound was lower against the euro (GBPEUR=X), down by 0.3% to €1.1822 at the time of writing.

The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) was down 0.1% at 8,770 points. For more details, check our live coverage here.

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