Last year, Air Service One reported that Frontier Airlines was the eighth-largest airline in the United States, and in Frontier Airlines’ most recent earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, the airline reported revenue of $929 million.
While the company’s net loss was $70 million, the CEO indicated the results were within the guidance range and that the airline is well-positioned to be profitable in 2026.
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So, based on this guidance, Frontier Airlines is headed in a positive direction.
However, this does not necessarily mean everything is going great for Frontier, or even for the airline industry as a whole. In fact, the opposite may be true, and there may be some ongoing shakeups that will affect both airlines and travelers.
Related: Spirit Airlines cancels hundreds of flights through September
Frontier Airlines CEO Barry L. Biffle alluded to the potential for upcoming industry-wide changes during the second quarter earnings call, and the alert issued by the airline exec goes beyond just projections for Frontier’s future.
Indeed, the blunt 11-word warning affects the industry and travelers as a whole and could mean that many people who enjoy traveling are going to see big changes to their flight plans in the coming months and years.
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Frontier Airlines CEO’s 12-word warning: Flight cancellations are coming
The warning from Frontier relates to domestic air travel. Specifically, Biffle said, “There’s going to continue to be reductions in capacity in this industry.”
Biffle warned that many airlines, Frontier included, were likely to reduce domestic capacity – aka fly fewer planes. And there’s a very simple reason: Planes the airlines are flying right now are simply not profitable.
Related: Southwest Airlines cancels hundreds of flights from July to Sept.
“I’m talking about domestic fares in the domestic marketplace, we believe that the entire industry is not making money. You can’t — if you take out your code share, take out your international flow, all that, the domestic is not making money. And that’s because there is too much supply relative to demand.”
United Airlines' CEO echoes Frontier: Plan on fewer flights
The Frontier Airlines CEO is not the only one to sound this alarm. United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby also warned that flight cuts are coming.
In United Airlines’ earnings call, Kirby said, “If I dig deeper into it and I look at every airline that’s not named United or Delta, I can find at every single one of them, a double-digit percentage of their route network that loses money. And the only way for them to get margins that are anywhere close to their WAC is to stop flying places that lose money. And that is going to ultimately happen.”
Airline passengers will have fewer travel options in 2026 and beyond
With both airline CEOs making it clear that airlines are flying too many planes right now, it seems very likely their warnings will become reality.
People are not flying enough within the United States to justify all of the flights that are currently running. Airlines do not want to lose money flying unpopular flights, so they are going to reduce the number of aircraft traveling.
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Unfortunately, this means fewer choices for flyers. That’s especially true if you like to fly at off-peak times or off-peak days, which are the days that airlines are going to target.
In fact, Spirit Airlines and a number of other carriers have already begun making flight cuts during these less-popular times.
Passengers need to be aware that their options for air travel may be narrowing. When you go to book your next flight, you may just find that the time you have always traveled is no longer available.
Related: JetBlue cancels all flights to major US airport, offers customer refunds