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Oil prices rise after Trump extends China tariff truce
  • Investing

Oil prices rise after Trump extends China tariff truce

  • August 12, 2025
  • Roubens Andy King
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Oil prices ticked higher on Tuesday morning, after US president Donald Trump extended a pause on implementing tariffs on Chinese goods for a further 90 days.

Trump signed an executive order on Monday to continue the truce until 10 November, with Beijing also announcing an extension of its tariff pause for another 90 days on Tuesday.

The truce was set to expire on Tuesday, but this latest extension means the US will maintain its 30% tariffs on Chinese imports and Beijing will hold its 10% levy on US goods.

Oil prices rose following the announcement of this extension, as it eased investor concerns that higher tariffs on China would weigh on the economy and demand for fuel.

Read more: UK job market continues to weaken as vacancies fall

Brent crude (BZ=F) futures climbed 0.2% to $65.84 per barrel at the time of writing, while West Texas Intermediate futures (CL=F) gained 0.2% to $64.10 a barrel.

Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “There’s more optimism in the air as a tariff truce between the US and China holds, with hopes the global economy will withstand the trade blow a little better. Oil prices have crept higher in expectation of higher demand for energy around the world.”

“A longer-lasting trade deal with between China and the US looks to be on the cards, after Trump granted another extension to talks amid a warming up of relations between the two nations,” she said. “The delay on imposing crippling US tariffs on Chinese goods will be welcome news, especially for American retailers in the run-up to the crucial Christmas season.”

Gold prices held steady on Tuesday morning, as investors awaited US inflation data, due out later in the day.

Gold futures (GC=F) traded at $3,404.70 per ounce at the time of writing, while spot gold rose 0.4% to $3,354.86 an ounce.

The precious metal is considered to act as a hedge against inflation, as when price growth erodes purchasing power, investors tend to look to gold as a store of wealth.

Neil Wilson, UK investor strategist at Saxo Markets, said: “US CPI [consumer price index] data today is the big one as this will drive expectations around the Fed’s next move in September.

“The latest indicator we have is that the headline CPI rate will move up 0.2% on a monthly basis, up 2.8% annually,” he said. “Core CPI will rise at a faster 0.3% clip month-on-month and 2.9% year-on-year.”

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“The report comes ahead of the Fed’s meeting in Jackson Hole on 21-23 August, which will likely set the tone for the September rate decision,” Wilson added. “I feel that at 3% inflation the Fed is not going to cut despite markets pricing about 90% chance of it doing so.”

Meanwhile, Trump's announcement on Monday that gold would not face US tariffs, kept a lid on gains for the precious metal.

In a post on his Truth Social platform on Monday, Trump wrote: “Gold will not be Tariffed!”

The precious metal surged to new highs on Friday, following a US Customs and Border Protection ruling that outlined levies on gold bars. However, an official later told Reuters that the White House planned to issue an executive order “clarifying misinformation” about tariffs on gold bars and other speciality products in the near future.

The pound rose 0.2% against the dollar (GBPUSD=X) on Tuesday morning, to trade at $1.3459, helped by a more muted greenback.

The US dollar index (DX-Y.NYB), which measures the greenback against a basket of six currencies, hovered just below the flatline on Tuesday morning at 98.46.

Investors were also assessing the latest UK jobs data, which showed a continued cooling the labour market.

The number of job vacancies and payrolled employees in the UK continued to fall in the latest data release from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

At the same time, the unemployment rate held steady at 4.7% from April to June, while annual wage growth excluding bonuses was also unchanged at 5% compared to the previous three months.

Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell (AJB.L), said: “In a nutshell, if you are looking for a job today, you’re going to find it much tougher than you would have just a year ago.

Read more: Over 3.6 million UK investors to pay dividend tax

“Firms have had to shoulder big tax and wage increases; they’re worried that further tax hikes could be coming down the track and they’re being cautious.

“That caution is manifesting itself in recruitment decisions,” she said. “They’re putting off taking on new staff and they’re not replacing many of those who leave.”

“Above inflation pay growth will be welcomed by those who have more money in their pay packets each month to help them deal with price hikes and potentially allows them to power a bit of growth through household spending,” Hewson added.

“It’s a double-edged sword, passing through to persistent service sector inflation, keeping hiring in check and limiting the Bank of England’s scope for further interest rate cuts this year.”

In other currency moves, the pound edged higher against the euro (GBPEUR=X), trading at €1.1574 at the time of writing. More broadly, FTSE 100 (^FTSE) rose 0.2% on Tuesday morning to 9,149 points.

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